With testing done and dusted, it was time to find out what the real pecking order was at the first race of the season in Melbourne. The Australian weather made us wait, though, as the nitty-gritty elements of qualifying were postponed until Sunday. When the second and third parts of qualifying were eventually run it was Red Bull Racing that came out on top with a front row lock out. Their speed looked ominous for the other teams, but as it turned out the Milton Keynes based team could not reproduce it in the race as Lotus and Ferrari proved to have the strongest race pace.
Mercedes also showed that they have taken some huge steps forward with this year’s car, particularly in qualifying in the hands of Lewis Hamilton, and in wet conditions in the hands of his team-mate Nico Rosberg. Things appear to have gone disastrously wrong for McLaren, though, who find themselves far from where they had hoped to be; solidly in the midfield rather than challenging at the sharp end of the field. It certainly looks like the testing indications proved to be accurate for these five teams.
It was Lotus, at least in the hands of 2007 world drivers’ champion Kimi Raikkonen, who came out on top, though. It was perhaps surprising that the Finn cruised to what was, in the end, a comfortable victory, given that he had only managed to qualify his Lotus in seventh place, behind the Red Bulls, Ferraris and Mercedes cars. Raikkonen, though, drove faultlessly in the race. He made ground early on and by lap two he had moved into fourth place after passing Hamilton’s Mercedes, which struggled early on.
Raikkonen’s speed early in the race put him in a great position, behind the leading trio of Red Bull’s triple world driver’s champion Sebastian Vettel and the Ferrari’s of Felipe Massa and Fernando Alonso. However, Raikkonen’s speed alone wasn’t enough to win him the race. When that speed is combined with a car that’s easy on tyres, and some clever strategy, you have a winning formula.
That’s exactly the formula that Lotus seemed to have developed. The team got their strategy absolutely right, making a two stop strategy work where their immediate competitors stopped three times. The key factor that allowed the Enstone based team to succeed with a two stop strategy where others, notably Mercedes, failed, was tyre wear. The Lotus E21 seems to have inherited its predecessor’s trait of not being too tough on its tyres. While that’s an advantage in itself, it might be especially important in 2013 as this year’s Pirelli tyres deliberately degrade more quickly than their 2012 equivalents. We’ll have to see if this is something that Lotus are able to repeat as the season progresses.
As for the other teams, I think that Ferrari will be the most satisfied. They managed to get both cars into the top four, with second place for Alonso and fourth for Massa. They had qualified well, too, and while they’re certainly not the quickest car they have a much stronger base to build on than they had in 2012. Red Bull Racing will be disappointed that they could not convert what appeared to be a significant qualifying advantage into similar dominance in the race. Vettel streaked away from pole and quickly established a gap to the cars behind, but this was not something that he was able to maintain. Mark Webber’s started contrasted with that of his team-mate as he fell back alarmingly and never properly recovered, eventually finishing sixth compared to the bottom step of the podium for Vettel. As I mentioned, Mercedes looked strong in qualifying, but they weren’t able to replicate their speed in race conditions. Hamilton can be fairly satisfied with fifth place on his debut for the Brackley based team, who would have been disappointed to see Rosberg retire with mechanical trouble on lap 27.
Aside from Sauber, who suffered a fuel system problem on Nico Hulkenberg’s car, meaning that the German couldn’t even start the race, the team that must be the most disappointed is McLaren. The Woking based team had the fastest car at the end of last season, having won the last two races of 2012. They looked like they would be well set to challenge at the front of the field in 2013 as we headed into the winter break. However, things appear to have gone very wrong for the British team. They found themselves struggling during testing, but put a brave face on things leading up to the Australian grand prix. Sadly for them, though, they have found that testing has proved to be an accurate indicator of their place in the formula 1 pecking order. So what exactly has gone wrong?
All of the other teams have produced evolutionary 2013 cars; choosing to build on the base of their cars from last season. McLaren have, though, rolled the dice and gone in another direction. While their 2013 car, the MP4-28, looks physically quite similar to its forerunner the MP4-27, under the skin the cars are very different. McLaren have gone for revolution rather than evolution on the basis that a new design concept would leave them more room for development throughout the season. At least at this stage, that looks to be a very costly mistake.
There is certainly plenty of room for development of the MP4-28, but that’s because it is a slow car. Team principal Martin Whitmarsh told Sky Sports on Friday that the car is “lacking grip” and has a “poor ride”, going on to say that “There’s a lot of head scratching at the moment”. Jenson Button agreed, saying “We have quite a few weaknesses with the car. Ride is a lot worse than what we expected and Martin’s already pointed that out. We’ve been working with that today to try and improve the car around the ride, but we haven’t really found a direction yet. That’s something we’ll be working on and hopefully we can find a good direction because the ride is so important with a Formula One car. If the car’s moving around a lot then the downforce isn’t necessarily working in the correct manner, so we’ve got to get the ride sorted”.
In my view, McLaren’s decision to opt for a completely new car design concept is an illogical one. Let’s not forget that 2014 will see new technical regulations which will mean complete car redesigns for all of the teams. Why then would McLaren gamble with a new design concept that will only be of use to them for one year, especially given that their 2012 car was so strong? Indeed, the new car is so poor, that there is already talk of the team reverting to the MP4-27. That’s still premature, but it is worrying to see that the British team have got things so wrong at this stage.
It also appears that they are still afflicted by the operational errors that blighted the team for so long in 2012. This time mistakes in qualifying meant that Sergio Perez didn’t even get a chance to have a real go at making Q3, while the team’s decision to run three timed laps on the super soft tyres for Jenson Button meant that the Englishman’s tyres were already heavily grained before he even started the race. He was forced to pit on lap four of the race, the earliest stop for any of the teams.
While there is ample cause for concern at McLaren, Lotus will be delighted with their start to the season. Raikkonen was hugely consistent on his way to third place in the 2012 world driver’s championship, but he didn’t win a race until the 18th round of the season in Abu Dhabi. He has hit his stride far earlier this term and that certainly bodes well for his chances of a championship challenge in 2013. I suspect that the Red Bull, Ferrari and Mercedes drivers will all consider themselves in with a good chance, too, though. It should be another exciting season. Roll on Malaysia.